Big Tech's Hidden Debt Problem
Podcast · ~32 min · Listen
- Patrick Boyle argues that the $1.65 trillion in “hidden” off-balance-sheet debt carried by major US tech companies, as reported by Nikkei Asia, is not comparable to Enron’s fraud; it’s disclosed in footnotes, adheres to accounting rules, and is largely ordinary.
- The debt isn’t truly “hidden” but rather “filed somewhere too tedious for most people to read,” prompting a deeper question, informed by researchers like Aswath Damodaran, about whether aggressive accounting practices (e.g., adjusted earnings, leases, stock-based compensation) actually succeed in fooling markets.
- The real risk in the current AI boom isn’t the borrowing itself, but rather the “enormous revenue it’s all assuming will show up,” highlighting a potential overestimation of future income.