U.S. Sanctions on Iran Take a New Approach || Peter Zeihan

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• The new US sanctions targeting anyone doing business with Iranian-owned aircraft mark a shift in strategy, aiming to pressure the Iranian population directly into rebellion rather than the regime itself.
• Zeihan argues this “very tall order” is unlikely to succeed, given Iran’s robust internal security apparatus (over a million military/IRGC personnel designed for internal occupation) and the historical difficulty of regime change in the region.
• The efficacy of these sanctions largely depends on China’s willingness to comply, as China is a primary source of manufactured goods for Iran.
• The upcoming Trump-Xi summit is predicted to be a “shitshow” due to both leaders being “least informed” and operating without functional advisory teams, creating an environment where countries like Iran might “slip through unnoticed.”